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Cart before the horse?
Trade policies ”Decent Work Worldwide” risk conveying a misconception about how development will come about?

Africa: a priority urgent focus on investments in manufacturing industries
All over the world authorities and civil society in developed and in developing countries are convinced that only investments in formal, export-oriented manufacturing industries are able to massively create decent jobs. Unfortunately for Africa this continent suffers from a severe lack of this type of investments. With as a result that 85 pct of the economy is informal and that in reality Africa suffers from a “formal” unemployment rate of 85 pct, not 8,5 pct.

Hence it may be recommended that a priority urgent focus should be given on the promotion of private sector manufacturing investments in Africa instead of a focus on expanding the quality of trade and track the impact of projects on employment dimensions.(*)

The goal of the Africa-Europe Global Gateway package, thanks to EU-guarantees and blending, is to realise in Africa, € 150 billion investments over seven years. There are indications that the EU expects the private sector to invest up to 90 pct of the total package. Allow-me to express doubts on the feasibility of this immense challenge for “for profit” industrial investors.

Africa not ready
Over the past six month I exchanged with 200 potential industrial investors in Belgium, Germany, France and The Netherlands. I was confronted with a general and deep engrained preconceived conviction of a “miserable” Africa not ready for modern industrial investments. Only three of them were able to cite two Sub-Saharan countries – out of twenty – with stable institutions, a large educated middle class, accessible industrial zones, an abundance of green energies and the emergent AfCFTA.

As a first step of the deployment of the Africa-Europe Global Gateway package it is suggested to organise a broad budget-friendly awareness campaign on the “other” Africa. Two subjects: (1) In Sub-Sahara Africa of to-day already 10-15 countries benefit from fairly stable institutions and accessible industrial zones; (2) all African countries are endowed with an important educated middle class, soon 25 pct of the world’s population in their prime of life, a financial elite, 65 pct of the worlds arable land, an abundance of renewable hydro-solar-wind energies and 37 pct of the world’s capacity to produce green hydrogen.

Only if the general public, authorities, academic and the EU-business world are conscientized - steered by the EC - of this attractive “other” Africa, investors maybe be inclined to participate in the Africa-Europe Global Gateway package. Only then in each individual African country enlightened elites with power and influence together with social partners will engage in national processes to comply with International Labour Standards.

karel.uyttendaele@pandora.be

(*) “Gambling on Development – Why some countries win and others lose” (July 2022) Oxford professor Stefan Dercon, former chief economist UK-Department for International Development